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　　三九養(yǎng)生堂記者 鄧肯·蓋伊 報(bào)道

精彩|　　該?(gai)論??(lun)文??(wen)介??(jie)紹??(shao)?，2002年??(nian)至??(zhi)今??(jin)?，氣??(qi)溫??(wen)上??(shang)升??(sheng)導(dǎo)??(dao)致??(zhi)的??(de)格??(ge)陵??(ling)蘭?(lan)冰??(bing)蓋??(gai)融??(rong)化??(hua)估??(gu)計(jì)??(ji)貢??(gong)獻(xiàn)??(xian)了??(le)觀??(guan)測(cè)??(ce)到??(dao)的??(de)海??(hai)平??(ping)面??(mian)上??(shang)升??(sheng)的??(de)20%??。??不??(bu)過(guò)??(guo)?，格?(ge)陵??(ling)蘭??(lan)冰??(bing)蓋??(gai)會(huì)??(hui)如??(ru)何?(he)應(yīng)??(ying)對(duì)??(dui)未??(wei)來(lái)??(lai)升?(sheng)溫??(wen)仍??(reng)不??(bu)清??(qing)楚??(chu)??。建??(jian)模??(mo)和??(he)古??(gu)氣??(qi)候??(hou)證??(zheng)據(jù)??(ju)顯??(xian)示??(shi)?，格??(ge)陵??(ling)蘭??(lan)冰??(bing)蓋??(gai)或??(huo)在??(zai)變??(bian)暖??(nuan)和??(he)變??(bian)冷??(leng)曲?(qu)線??(xian)的??(de)多??(duo)個(gè)??(ge)不??(bu)同??(tong)配??(pei)置??(zhi)下??(xia)保??(bao)持??(chi)穩(wěn)??(wen)定??(ding)???！　”??(ben)項(xiàng)??(xiang)研??(yan)究??(jiu)中??(zhong)??，論??(lun)文??(wen)第??(di)一??(yi)作??(zuo)者??(zhe)和??(he)通??(tong)訊??(xun)作??(zuo)者??(zhe)、挪??(nuo)威??(wei)北??(bei)極?(ji)圈??(quan)大??(da)學(xué)??(xue)Nils Bochow與??(yu)同??(tong)事??(shi)及??(ji)合??(he)作??(zuo)者??(zhe)一??(yi)起??(qi)??，模??(mo)擬??(ni)了??(le)格秘(ge)陵??(ling)蘭??(lan)冰??(bing)蓋??(gai)在??(zai)未??(wei)來(lái)??(lai)暖??(nuan)化??(hua)情??(qing)景??(jing)下??(xia)的??(de)行??(xing)為?(wei)??，在??(zai)這??(zhe)些??(xie)情??(qing)景??(jing)中??(zhong)??，氣??(qi)溫??(wen)會(huì)??(hui)首??(shou)先??(xian)超??(chao)過(guò)?(guo)維??(wei)持??(chi)冰??(bing)蓋??(gai)穩(wěn)??(wen)定??(ding)的??(de)臨??(lin)界??(jie)值??(zhi)??，隨??(sui)后??(hou)全??(quan)球??(qiu)平??(ping)均?(jun)氣??(qi)溫??(wen)下??(xia)降??(jiang)??。??他??(ta)們??(men)評(píng)??(ping)估??(gu)認(rèn)??(ren)為?(wei)??，冰??(bing)蓋??(gai)的??(de)穩(wěn)??(wen)定??(ding)性??(xing)受??(shou)到??(dao)氣??(qi)溫??(wen)超??(chao)過(guò)??(guo)臨??(lin)界??(jie)值??(zhi)的?(de)時(shí)??(shi)間??(jian)長(zhǎng)??(chang)度??(du)以??(yi)及?(ji)升??(sheng)溫??(wen)幅??(fu)度??(du)的??(de)影?(ying)響??(xiang)??。進(jìn)??(jin)一??(yi)步??(bu)研??(yan)究?(jiu)發(fā)??(fa)現(xiàn)??(xian)??，如??(ru)果??(guo)全??(quan)球??(qiu)平??(ping)均??(jun)氣??(qi)溫?(wen)閾??(yu)值??(zhi)在??(zai)比??(bi)工??(gong)業(yè)??(ye)前??(qian)水??(shui)平?(ping)高??(gao)1.7°C到??(dao)2.3°C之??(zhi)間??(jian)??，冰??(bing)蓋??(gai)可??(ke)能??(neng)會(huì)??(hui)急??(ji)劇??(ju)損??(sun)失??(shi)??。

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