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　　三九養(yǎng)生堂記者 鄧肯·蓋伊 報(bào)道

精彩|　　陳??(chen)光??(guang)華??(hua)介??(jie)紹??(shao)??，針??(zhen)對(duì)??(dui)生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)產(chǎn)??(chan)能??(neng)偏??(pian)高??(gao)、養(yǎng)??(yang)殖??(zhi)虧??(kui)損??(sun)的??(de)問??(wen)題??(ti)??，我??(wo)們??(men)按??(an)照??(zhao)生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)產(chǎn)??(chan)能??(neng)調(diào)??(tiao)控?(kong)方??(fang)案??(an)要??(yao)求??(qiu)??，及??(ji)時(shí)?(shi)啟??(qi)動(dòng)??(dong)預(yù)??(yu)警?(jing)調(diào)??(tiao)控??(kong)措??(cuo)施??(shi)??，分??(fen)析??(xi)闡?(chan)明??(ming)生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)供??(gong)應(yīng)??(ying)出??(chu)現(xiàn)??(xian)階??(jie)段??(duan)性??(xing)過??(guo)剩??(sheng)原?(yuan)因??(yin)??，引??(yin)導(dǎo)??(dao)養(yǎng)??(yang)殖??(zhi)場(chǎng)??(chang)戶??(hu)合??(he)理??(li)調(diào)??(tiao)減??(jian)產(chǎn)??(chan)能??(neng)??，督??(du)促??(cu)各??(ge)地??(di)穩(wěn)??(wen)定?(ding)用??(yong)地??(di)、環(huán)??(huan)保?(bao)、金??(jin)融??(rong)等??(deng)基??(ji)礎(chǔ)??(chu)性??(xing)政??(zheng)策??(ce)??，在??(zai)養(yǎng)??(yang)殖??(zhi)虧??(kui)損?(sun)期??(qi)間??(jian)采??(cai)取??(qu)補(bǔ)??(bu)貼??(tie)、信?(xin)貸??(dai)、貼?(tie)息??(xi)等??(deng)措??(cuo)施??(shi)??，穩(wěn)??(wen)定??(ding)生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)生??(sheng)產(chǎn)??(chan)??。??豬??(zhu)價(jià)??(jia)高??(gao)低??(di)和??(he)養(yǎng)?(yang)殖?(zhi)盈??(ying)虧??(kui)是??(shi)反??(fan)映??(ying)供??(gong)應(yīng)??(ying)多??(duo)少??(shao)最??(zui)直??(zhi)接??(jie)的??(de)依??(yi)據(jù)??(ju)??，今??(jin)年??(nian)以??(yi)來??(lai)??，養(yǎng)??(yang)殖??(zhi)場(chǎng)??(chang)戶??(hu)根??(gen)據(jù)??(ju)產(chǎn)??(chan)銷??(xiao)形??(xing)勢(shì)??(shi)新??(xin)變??(bian)化??(hua)??，適??(shi)應(yīng)??(ying)性??(xing)調(diào)??(tiao)減??(jian)產(chǎn)?(chan)能??(neng)??，順?(shun)勢(shì)??(shi)順??(shun)時(shí)??(shi)出??(chu)欄??(lan)肥??(fei)豬?(zhu)??，促??(cu)進(jìn)??(jin)了??(le)豬??(zhu)肉??(rou)供??(gong)需??(xu)逐??(zhu)步??(bu)回?(hui)歸??(gui)均??(jun)衡??(heng)???！　￡??(chen)光??(guang)華??(hua)指??(zhi)出??(chu)??，關(guān)??(guan)于??(yu)接??(jie)下??(xia)來??(lai)的??(de)市??(shi)場(chǎng)??(chang)走??(zou)勢(shì)??(shi)??，近??(jin)期??(qi)農(nóng)??(nong)業(yè)??(ye)農(nóng)??(nong)村??(cun)部??(bu)組??(zu)織??(zhi)專?(zhuan)家??(jia)、行??(xing)業(yè)??(ye)協(xié)??(xie)會(huì)??(hui)和??(he)重??(zhong)點(diǎn)??(dian)企??(qi)業(yè)??(ye)進(jìn)??(jin)行??(xing)了??(le)專??(zhuan)題??(ti)會(huì)??(hui)商??(shang)?。??大?(da)家??(jia)認(rèn)??(ren)為??(wei)??，當(dāng)??(dang)前??(qian)和??(he)今??(jin)后??(hou)一??(yi)個(gè)??(ge)時(shí)??(shi)期??(qi)??，生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)生??(sheng)產(chǎn)??(chan)仍?(reng)在??(zai)慣??(guan)性?(xing)增??(zeng)長(zhǎng)??(chang)??，后??(hou)市??(shi)供??(gong)應(yīng)?(ying)將??(jiang)穩(wěn)??(wen)定??(ding)增??(zeng)加??(jia)??，四??(si)季??(ji)度??(du)是??(shi)消??(xiao)費(fèi)??(fei)旺??(wang)季??(ji)??，豬??(zhu)價(jià)??(jia)可??(ke)能??(neng)會(huì)??(hui)回?(hui)升?(sheng)??，但??(dan)缺?(que)乏??(fa)大?(da)幅?(fu)上??(shang)漲??(zhang)的?(de)基??(ji)礎(chǔ)??(chu)?。從??(cong)中??(zhong)大??(da)豬?(zhu)數(shù)??(shu)量?(liang)看??(kan)??，9月??(yue)份?(fen)??，全??(quan)國(guó)??(guo)規(guī)?(gui)模??(mo)豬??(zhu)場(chǎng)??(chang)的??(de)中??(zhong)大??(da)豬??(zhu)存?(cun)欄??(lan)量??(liang)同??(tong)比??(bi)增??(zeng)長(zhǎng)??(chang)6.3%、環(huán)??(huan)比??(bi)增??(zeng)長(zhǎng)??(chang)2.4%??，這??(zhe)些??(xie)中?(zhong)大??(da)豬??(zhu)將??(jiang)在??(zai)未??(wei)來??(lai)2個(gè)??(ge)月??(yue)內(nèi)??(nei)陸??(lu)續(xù)??(xu)出??(chu)欄??(lan)??，預(yù)??(yu)示??(shi)著??(zhe)11月??(yue)份??(fen)前?(qian)后??(hou)生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)市??(shi)場(chǎng)??(chang)供??(gong)應(yīng)??(ying)將??(jiang)持??(chi)續(xù)??(xu)增?(zeng)加??(jia)?。從??(cong)新?(xin)生??(sheng)仔??(zai)豬??(zhu)數(shù)??(shu)量??(liang)看??(kan)??，今??(jin)年??(nian)4—9月??(yue)份??(fen)全??(quan)國(guó)??(guo)新??(xin)生??(sheng)仔??(zai)豬??(zhu)量??(liang)同??(tong)比??(bi)增??(zeng)長(zhǎng)??(chang)5.9%??，這??(zhe)些??(xie)仔??(zai)豬??(zhu)將??(jiang)在??(zai)未??(wei)來??(lai)6個(gè)??(ge)月??(yue)內(nèi)??(nei)將??(jiang)陸??(lu)續(xù)??(xu)出??(chu)欄??(lan)??，預(yù)??(yu)示??(shi)著??(zhe)從??(cong)現(xiàn)??(xian)在??(zai)開??(kai)始??(shi)的??(de)半??(ban)年?(nian)內(nèi)??(nei)(包??(bao)括??(kuo)元??(yuan)旦??(dan)春??(chun)節(jié)??(jie))豬?(zhu)肉??(rou)市??(shi)場(chǎng)??(chang)供??(gong)應(yīng)??(ying)較??(jiao)為??(wei)充??(chong)足??(zu)?。在??(zai)此??(ci)提??(ti)醒??(xing)廣??(guang)大?(da)養(yǎng)??(yang)殖??(zhi)場(chǎng)??(chang)戶??(hu)??，明??(ming)年?(nian)春??(chun)節(jié)??(jie)后??(hou)可??(ke)能??(neng)出??(chu)現(xiàn)??(xian)消?(xiao)費(fèi)??(fei)淡??(dan)季?(ji)與??(yu)生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)出??(chu)欄??(lan)量??(liang)增??(zeng)加??(jia)“兩??(liang)碰??(peng)頭??(tou)”??，養(yǎng)??(yang)豬?(zhu)虧??(kui)損??(sun)程??(cheng)度??(du)甚??(shen)至??(zhi)可??(ke)能??(neng)重??(zhong)于??(yu)今??(jin)年??(nian)同??(tong)期??(qi)??，希??(xi)望??(wang)大?(da)家?(jia)做??(zuo)好??(hao)生??(sheng)產(chǎn)??(chan)安??(an)排??(pai)??，合??(he)理?(li)調(diào)??(tiao)整?(zheng)生??(sheng)產(chǎn)??(chan)節(jié)?(jie)奏??(zou)??，順??(shun)時(shí)??(shi)順??(shun)勢(shì)??(shi)出??(chu)欄??(lan)生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)?。

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