三九養(yǎng)生堂記者 鄧肯·蓋伊 報道
精彩| 陳??(chen)光??(guang)華??(hua)指??(zhi)出??(chu)??，關(guān)??(guan)于?(yu)接??(jie)下??(xia)來??(lai)的??(de)市??(shi)場??(chang)走??(zou)勢??(shi)??，近??(jin)期??(qi)農(nóng)?(nong)業(yè)??(ye)農(nóng)??(nong)村??(cun)部??(bu)組祝(zu)織??(zhi)專??(zhuan)家??(jia)、行??(xing)業(yè)??(ye)協(xié)??(xie)會??(hui)和??(he)重??(zhong)點??(dian)企??(qi)業(yè)??(ye)進??(jin)行??(xing)了??(le)專??(zhuan)題??(ti)會??(hui)商?(shang)??。??大??(da)家??(jia)認??(ren)為?(wei)??，當??(dang)前??(qian)和??(he)今??(jin)后??(hou)一??(yi)個??(ge)時??(shi)期??(qi)??，生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)生??(sheng)產(chǎn)??(chan)仍??(reng)在??(zai)慣??(guan)性??(xing)增??(zeng)長??(chang)??，后??(hou)市??(shi)供??(gong)應??(ying)將??(jiang)穩(wěn)??(wen)定??(ding)增??(zeng)加?(jia)??，四??(si)季??(ji)度??(du)是??(shi)消??(xiao)費??(fei)旺??(wang)季??(ji)??，豬?(zhu)價??(jia)可??(ke)能??(neng)會??(hui)回??(hui)升??(sheng)??，但??(dan)缺??(que)乏??(fa)大??(da)幅?(fu)上??(shang)漲?(zhang)的??(de)基??(ji)礎??(chu)??。從??(cong)中?(zhong)大?(da)豬??(zhu)數(shù)??(shu)量??(liang)看??(kan)??，9月??(yue)份??(fen)??，全??(quan)國??(guo)規(guī)??(gui)模??(mo)豬??(zhu)場??(chang)的??(de)中??(zhong)大??(da)豬??(zhu)存??(cun)欄??(lan)量??(liang)同??(tong)比??(bi)增??(zeng)長??(chang)6.3%、環(huán)??(huan)比??(bi)增??(zeng)長??(chang)2.4%??，這??(zhe)些??(xie)中??(zhong)大?(da)豬??(zhu)將??(jiang)在??(zai)未??(wei)來?(lai)2個??(ge)月??(yue)內(nèi)??(nei)陸??(lu)續(xù)??(xu)出??(chu)欄?(lan)??，預??(yu)示??(shi)著??(zhe)11月??(yue)份??(fen)前??(qian)后??(hou)生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)市??(shi)場?(chang)供??(gong)應??(ying)將??(jiang)持??(chi)續(xù)??(xu)增??(zeng)加??(jia)??。從??(cong)新??(xin)生??(sheng)仔祝(zai)豬??(zhu)數(shù)??(shu)量??(liang)看秘(kan)??，今?(jin)年??(nian)4—9月??(yue)份?(fen)全??(quan)國??(guo)新??(xin)生??(sheng)仔??(zai)豬??(zhu)量??(liang)同??(tong)比??(bi)增??(zeng)長??(chang)5.9%??，這??(zhe)些??(xie)仔??(zai)豬??(zhu)將??(jiang)在??(zai)未??(wei)來??(lai)6個??(ge)月??(yue)內(nèi)??(nei)將??(jiang)陸??(lu)續(xù)??(xu)出??(chu)欄??(lan)??，預??(yu)示??(shi)著?(zhe)從??(cong)現(xiàn)??(xian)在??(zai)開??(kai)始??(shi)的??(de)半??(ban)年??(nian)內(nèi)??(nei)(包??(bao)括??(kuo)元??(yuan)旦??(dan)春?(chun)節(jié)??(jie))豬?(zhu)肉??(rou)市??(shi)場??(chang)供??(gong)應??(ying)較??(jiao)為??(wei)充??(chong)足??(zu)??。在?(zai)此??(ci)提??(ti)醒??(xing)廣??(guang)大??(da)養(yǎng)??(yang)殖??(zhi)場??(chang)戶??(hu)??，明??(ming)年??(nian)春??(chun)節(jié)??(jie)后??(hou)可??(ke)能??(neng)出??(chu)現(xiàn)??(xian)消??(xiao)費??(fei)淡??(dan)季??(ji)與?(yu)生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)出??(chu)欄??(lan)量??(liang)增??(zeng)加??(jia)“兩??(liang)碰??(peng)頭??(tou)”??，養(yǎng)??(yang)豬??(zhu)虧??(kui)損??(sun)程?(cheng)度??(du)甚??(shen)至??(zhi)可??(ke)能??(neng)重??(zhong)于??(yu)今??(jin)年?(nian)同??(tong)期??(qi)??，希??(xi)望??(wang)大??(da)家??(jia)做??(zuo)好??(hao)生??(sheng)產(chǎn)??(chan)安??(an)排??(pai)??，合??(he)理??(li)調(diào)??(tiao)整??(zheng)生??(sheng)產(chǎn)??(chan)節(jié)??(jie)奏??(zou)??，順??(shun)時?(shi)順??(shun)勢??(shi)出??(chu)欄??(lan)生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)??。 對??(dui)此??(ci)??，陳??(chen)光??(guang)華??(hua)表??(biao)示??(shi)??，今??(jin)年??(nian)以??(yi)來?(lai)??，生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)市??(shi)場?(chang)供??(gong)應??(ying)總??(zong)體?(ti)較??(jiao)為??(wei)充??(chong)足??(zu)??，大??(da)家??(jia)在??(zai)日??(ri)常??(chang)生??(sheng)活??(huo)中?(zhong)可??(ke)能??(neng)都??(dou)感??(gan)受?(shou)到??(dao)了??(le)?。??1—7月??(yue)份??(fen)豬??(zhu)價?(jia)低??(di)位??(wei)運??(yun)行??(xing)??，出??(chu)欄?(lan)一?(yi)頭??(tou)生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)虧??(kui)損?(sun)約??(yue)130元??(yuan)?。7月??(yue)下??(xia)旬??(xun)之??(zhi)后??(hou)??，豬??(zhu)肉??(rou)供??(gong)需?(xu)逐?(zhu)漸??(jian)趨??(qu)于??(yu)平??(ping)衡??(heng)??，生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)價?(jia)格??(ge)回??(hui)升??(sheng)??，養(yǎng)??(yang)殖??(zhi)實??(shi)現(xiàn)??(xian)扭??(niu)虧??(kui)為?(wei)盈??(ying)?。中??(zhong)秋??(qiu)國??(guo)慶??(qing)以??(yi)來?(lai)??，豬??(zhu)肉??(rou)市??(shi)場??(chang)供??(gong)應??(ying)寬??(kuan)松??(song)??，價??(jia)格??(ge)又??(you)出??(chu)現(xiàn)?(xian)了?(le)小??(xiao)幅??(fu)下??(xia)跌??(die)?。這??(zhe)主??(zhu)要??(yao)是??(shi)因??(yin)為??(wei)生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)生??(sheng)產(chǎn)??(chan)供??(gong)應??(ying)在??(zai)穩(wěn)??(wen)定??(ding)增??(zeng)加??(jia)?。作??(zuo)為?(wei)產(chǎn)??(chan)能??(neng)的??(de)核?(he)心??(xin)指??(zhi)標??(biao)??，全??(quan)國??(guo)能??(neng)繁??(fan)母??(mu)豬??(zhu)存??(cun)欄??(lan)量??(liang)今??(jin)年??(nian)以??(yi)來??(lai)始??(shi)終?(zhong)高??(gao)于??(yu)4100萬?(wan)頭??(tou)的??(de)正??(zheng)常??(chang)保?(bao)有??(you)量??(liang)?。9月??(yue)末??(mo)??，能??(neng)繁??(fan)母?(mu)豬??(zhu)存??(cun)欄??(lan)量??(liang)4240萬??(wan)頭??(tou)??，比??(bi)4100萬?(wan)頭??(tou)正??(zheng)常?(chang)保??(bao)有??(you)量??(liang)要??(yao)高??(gao)出?(chu)3.4%?。同??(tong)時??(shi)??，母??(mu)豬??(zhu)生??(sheng)產(chǎn)??(chan)效??(xiao)率??(lv)也?(ye)在??(zai)提??(ti)升??(sheng)??，一??(yi)頭??(tou)母??(mu)豬??(zhu)每??(mei)年??(nian)要??(yao)比??(bi)上??(shang)年??(nian)多??(duo)提??(ti)供??(gong)約??(yue)0.5頭??(tou)肥??(fei)豬秘(zhu)?。這?(zhe)樣??(yang)能?(neng)繁?(fan)母??(mu)豬??(zhu)數(shù)??(shu)量??(liang)增?(zeng)多?(duo)??，生??(sheng)產(chǎn)??(chan)效??(xiao)率??(lv)又??(you)在??(zai)提??(ti)升??(sheng)??，在??(zai)兩??(liang)個??(ge)因?(yin)素??(su)共??(gong)同??(tong)作??(zuo)用??(yong)下??(xia)??，豬??(zhu)肉??(rou)產(chǎn)??(chan)量??(liang)處??(chu)于??(yu)近??(jin)年??(nian)同??(tong)期??(qi)高??(gao)位??(wei)?。前??(qian)三??(san)季祝(ji)度??(du)豬??(zhu)肉??(rou)產(chǎn)??(chan)量??(liang)4301萬??(wan)噸??(dun)??，同??(tong)比??(bi)增??(zeng)長?(chang)3.6%?。
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