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學習快評丨qibao666888　　以??(yi)美??(mei)加??(jia)貿(mào)?(mao)易??(yi)戰(zhàn)?(zhan)為??(wei)例??(li)??。??美??(mei)國??(guo)能??(neng)源??(yuan)信??(xin)息??(xi)署??(shu)的??(de)數(shù)??(shu)據(jù)??(ju)顯??(xian)示??(shi)??，2024年??(nian)前??(qian)10個??(ge)月??(yue)??，美??(mei)國??(guo)每??(mei)天??(tian)進??(jin)口??(kou)約??(yue)660萬??(wan)桶??(tong)原??(yuan)油??(you)??，其??(qi)中?(zhong)400萬??(wan)桶??(tong)為?(wei)重??(zhong)質(zhì)??(zhi)原??(yuan)油?(you)??，用??(yong)于?(yu)升??(sheng)級??(ji)煉??(lian)油??(you)廠秘(chang)和??(he)裂??(lie)解??(jie)裝??(zhuang)置?(zhi)??。美??(mei)國??(guo)重??(zhong)質(zhì)?(zhi)原??(yuan)油??(you)進??(jin)口??(kou)的??(de)75%來??(lai)自??(zi)加?(jia)拿??(na)大??(da)??，加??(jia)拿??(na)大??(da)約??(yue)80%的??(de)原??(yuan)油??(you)產(chǎn)??(chan)量??(liang)流??(liu)向??(xiang)美??(mei)國??(guo)煉??(lian)油??(you)廠??(chang)??。自??(zi)從??(cong)特??(te)朗??(lang)普??(pu)對??(dui)加??(jia)發(fā)??(fa)出??(chu)關??(guan)稅??(shui)威??(wei)脅??(xie)后??(hou)??，美??(mei)國?(guo)進??(jin)口??(kou)的??(de)加??(jia)拿??(na)大??(da)原??(yuan)油??(you)達??(da)到?(dao)創(chuàng)?(chuang)紀??(ji)錄??(lu)的??(de)442萬?(wan)桶??(tong)／日??(ri)??，并??(bing)在??(zai)最??(zui)后??(hou)一??(yi)個??(ge)季??(ji)度??(du)增??(zeng)長??(chang)了??(le)11.8%??。去??(qu)年??(nian)12月??(yue)加??(jia)對??(dui)美??(mei)貿(mào)??(mao)易??(yi)順??(shun)差?(cha)從??(cong)之??(zhi)前??(qian)的??(de)82億??(yi)加??(jia)元?(yuan)擴??(kuo)大??(da)至??(zhi)113億??(yi)加??(jia)元??(yuan)??。從??(cong)目?(mu)前??(qian)情??(qing)況??(kuang)看??(kan)??，絕?(jue)大??(da)多祝(duo)數(shù)??(shu)加??(jia)拿??(na)大??(da)人??(ren)支??(zhi)持?(chi)對??(dui)美??(mei)采??(cai)取??(qu)報??(bao)復??(fu)性??(xing)關??(guan)稅??(shui)??，去?(qu)年??(nian)??，加??(jia)拿??(na)大??(da)與??(yu)美??(mei)國??(guo)的??(de)進??(jin)出??(chu)口??(kou)貿(mào)?(mao)易??(yi)額??(e)連??(lian)續(xù)??(xu)第??(di)三?(san)年??(nian)超??(chao)過??(guo)1萬??(wan)億??(yi)加??(jia)元??(yuan)??。特??(te)朗??(lang)普??(pu)現(xiàn)??(xian)在??(zai)不??(bu)得??(de)不??(bu)宣??(xuan)布??(bu)暫??(zan)緩??(huan)追??(zhui)加??(jia)關?(guan)稅??(shui)??，但??(dan)市??(shi)場??(chang)擔??(dan)心??(xin)一?(yi)旦??(dan)實??(shi)施??(shi)高??(gao)關??(guan)稅??(shui)??，美??(mei)龐??(pang)大?(da)的??(de)原??(yuan)油??(you)進??(jin)口??(kou)需??(xu)求??(qiu)有??(you)可??(ke)能??(neng)化??(hua)為??(wei)烏??(wu)有??(you)???！　∑??(qi)二??(er)??，懲??(cheng)罰??(fa)性??(xing)關??(guan)稅??(shui)政??(zheng)策??(ce)將??(jiang)導??(dao)致??(zhi)全??(quan)球??(qiu)貿(mào)?(mao)易??(yi)成??(cheng)本??(ben)上?(shang)升??(sheng)??，迫??(po)使??(shi)石??(shi)油??(you)貿(mào)??(mao)易?(yi)改??(gai)道??(dao)??，進??(jin)一?(yi)步??(bu)加??(jia)劇??(ju)了??(le)國?(guo)際??(ji)油??(you)價??(jia)的??(de)不??(bu)確??(que)定??(ding)性??(xing)??。??美??(mei)國??(guo)對??(dui)進??(jin)口??(kou)鋼??(gang)鐵??(tie)和??(he)鋁??(lv)加??(jia)征??(zheng)關??(guan)稅??(shui)??，增??(zeng)加??(jia)國??(guo)內(nèi)??(nei)石??(shi)油??(you)開??(kai)采??(cai)和??(he)運??(yun)輸??(shu)的??(de)成??(cheng)本??(ben)??，間??(jian)接??(jie)推秘(tui)高??(gao)油??(you)價??(jia)??。同??(tong)時??(shi)??，貿(mào)??(mao)易??(yi)摩??(mo)擦??(ca)導??(dao)致??(zhi)的??(de)全??(quan)球??(qiu)經(jīng)??(jing)濟??(ji)放??(fang)緩??(huan)預??(yu)期??(qi)??，又??(you)對??(dui)油?(you)價??(jia)形??(xing)成??(cheng)了??(le)下??(xia)行??(xing)壓?(ya)力?(li)??。這??(zhe)種??(zhong)復??(fu)雜??(za)的??(de)相??(xiang)互??(hu)作??(zuo)用?(yong)使??(shi)得??(de)國??(guo)際??(ji)油??(you)價??(jia)的??(de)波??(bo)動??(dong)更??(geng)加??(jia)難??(nan)以??(yi)預??(yu)測??(ce)??。。