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　　三九養(yǎng)生堂記者 鄧肯·蓋伊 報道

精彩|　　中??(zhong)新??(xin)網(wǎng)?(wang)北?(bei)京??(jing)10月??(yue)19日??(ri)電??(dian) (記??(ji)者??(zhe) 孫??(sun)自??(zi)法??(fa))國??(guo)際??(ji)著??(zhu)名??(ming)學??(xue)術(shù)??(shu)期??(qi)刊??(kan)《自??(zi)然??(ran)》最??(zui)新??(xin)發(fā)??(fa)表?(biao)一??(yi)篇??(pian)氣??(qi)候??(hou)建??(jian)模??(mo)的??(de)研??(yan)究??(jiu)論??(lun)文??(wen)顯??(xian)示??(shi)??，如??(ru)果??(guo)全??(quan)球??(qiu)升??(sheng)溫??(wen)比??(bi)工??(gong)業(yè)??(ye)前??(qian)水??(shui)平??(ping)高??(gao)2°C左??(zuo)右??(you)??，格??(ge)陵??(ling)蘭??(lan)冰??(bing)蓋?(gai)預(yù)??(yu)計??(ji)會??(hui)因??(yin)為??(wei)融??(rong)化??(hua)而?(er)急??(ji)劇??(ju)損??(sun)失??(shi)??，之??(zhi)后??(hou)升?(sheng)溫??(wen)幅??(fu)度??(du)降??(jiang)至??(zhi)1.5°C以??(yi)下??(xia)或??(huo)能??(neng)緩??(huan)解?(jie)冰??(bing)損??(sun)失??(shi)??，但??(dan)降??(jiang)溫??(wen)必??(bi)須??(xu)發(fā)??(fa)生??(sheng)在??(zai)幾??(ji)個??(ge)世?(shi)紀??(ji)之?(zhi)內(nèi)??(nei)??。??　　本??(ben)項??(xiang)研??(yan)究??(jiu)中??(zhong)??，論??(lun)文??(wen)第??(di)一??(yi)作?(zuo)者?(zhe)和??(he)通??(tong)訊?(xun)作??(zuo)者??(zhe)、挪??(nuo)威??(wei)北??(bei)極??(ji)圈??(quan)大??(da)學??(xue)Nils Bochow與??(yu)同??(tong)事??(shi)及??(ji)合??(he)作??(zuo)者??(zhe)一??(yi)起??(qi)??，模??(mo)擬??(ni)了??(le)格??(ge)陵??(ling)蘭??(lan)冰??(bing)蓋??(gai)在??(zai)未??(wei)來??(lai)暖??(nuan)化??(hua)情??(qing)景?(jing)下??(xia)的??(de)行??(xing)為??(wei)??，在??(zai)這??(zhe)些??(xie)情?(qing)景??(jing)中??(zhong)??，氣??(qi)溫??(wen)會?(hui)首??(shou)先??(xian)超??(chao)過??(guo)維??(wei)持??(chi)冰??(bing)蓋?(gai)穩(wěn)??(wen)定??(ding)的??(de)臨??(lin)界??(jie)值??(zhi)??，隨??(sui)后??(hou)全??(quan)球??(qiu)平??(ping)均?(jun)氣??(qi)溫??(wen)下??(xia)降??(jiang)??。??他??(ta)們??(men)評??(ping)估??(gu)認??(ren)為??(wei)??，冰?(bing)蓋??(gai)的??(de)穩(wěn)??(wen)定??(ding)性??(xing)受??(shou)到??(dao)氣??(qi)溫??(wen)超??(chao)過??(guo)臨??(lin)界?(jie)值??(zhi)的??(de)時??(shi)間??(jian)長??(chang)度??(du)以??(yi)及??(ji)升??(sheng)溫??(wen)幅??(fu)度??(du)的??(de)影?(ying)響??(xiang)??。進??(jin)一??(yi)步??(bu)研??(yan)究??(jiu)發(fā)??(fa)現(xiàn)??(xian)??，如?(ru)果??(guo)全??(quan)球?(qiu)平??(ping)均??(jun)氣??(qi)溫??(wen)閾??(yu)值??(zhi)在??(zai)比?(bi)工??(gong)業(yè)??(ye)前??(qian)水??(shui)平?(ping)高??(gao)1.7°C到??(dao)2.3°C之??(zhi)間??(jian)??，冰??(bing)蓋??(gai)可??(ke)能??(neng)會??(hui)急??(ji)劇??(ju)損??(sun)失??(shi)??。

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