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學習快評丨qibao666888　　據(jù)??(ju)亞??(ya)特??(te)蘭??(lan)大??(da)聯(lián)??(lian)儲??(chu)GDPNow模?(mo)型??(xing)最??(zui)新??(xin)數(shù)??(shu)據(jù)??(ju)顯??(xian)示??(shi)??，美??(mei)國??(guo)1季??(ji)度??(du)經(jīng)??(jing)濟??(ji)增??(zeng)速??(su)將??(jiang)下??(xia)降??(jiang)1.8%??，如??(ru)果??(guo)這??(zhe)一?(yi)預??(yu)測??(ce)成??(cheng)為??(wei)現(xiàn)??(xian)實??(shi)??，將??(jiang)會??(hui)成??(cheng)為??(wei)2022年??(nian)1季??(ji)度??(du)以??(yi)來??(lai)美?(mei)國??(guo)經(jīng)??(jing)濟??(ji)首??(shou)次??(ci)季??(ji)度??(du)收??(shou)縮?(suo)??。??而??(er)芝??(zhi)商??(shang)所??(suo)的??(de)Fed Watch工??(gong)具??(ju)顯??(xian)示??(shi)??，美??(mei)聯(lián)??(lian)儲??(chu)最?(zui)早??(zao)可??(ke)能??(neng)在??(zai)6月??(yue)降??(jiang)息??(xi)??，年??(nian)內(nèi)??(nei)最??(zui)多??(duo)可??(ke)能??(neng)會??(hui)降??(jiang)息??(xi)2至??(zhi)3次??(ci)???！　‘??(dang)前??(qian)??，市??(shi)場??(chang)認??(ren)可?(ke)的?(de)基??(ji)準?(zhun)情?(qing)形??(xing)已??(yi)經(jīng)??(jing)發(fā)??(fa)生??(sheng)了??(le)大??(da)逆??(ni)轉??(zhuan)??，越??(yue)來??(lai)越??(yue)多秘(duo)的??(de)投??(tou)資??(zi)者??(zhe)認??(ren)為??(wei)??，由??(you)于??(yu)關??(guan)稅??(shui)政??(zheng)策??(ce)擾?(rao)動??(dong)、政??(zheng)府??(fu)支?(zhi)出?(chu)下??(xia)降??(jiang)和??(he)勞??(lao)動??(dong)力?(li)減??(jian)少??(shao)??，美??(mei)國??(guo)經(jīng)??(jing)濟??(ji)可??(ke)能??(neng)陷??(xian)入??(ru)溫??(wen)和??(he)“滯?(zhi)漲??(zhang)”中?(zhong)??，即??(ji)經(jīng)??(jing)濟??(ji)增??(zeng)速??(su)有??(you)所??(suo)下??(xia)降??(jiang)??，但??(dan)通??(tong)脹??(zhang)依??(yi)然??(ran)維??(wei)持??(chi)在??(zai)較??(jiao)高??(gao)水??(shui)平??(ping)??。?同??(tong)時??(shi)??，美??(mei)聯(lián)??(lian)儲??(chu)將?(jiang)不??(bu)得??(de)不?(bu)在??(zai)物??(wu)價?(jia)穩(wěn)??(wen)定??(ding)和??(he)充??(chong)分??(fen)就??(jiu)業(yè)??(ye)兩??(liang)大??(da)官??(guan)方??(fang)使??(shi)命??(ming)中??(zhong)做??(zuo)出??(chu)選??(xuan)擇??(ze)??，很??(hen)可??(ke)能??(neng)會??(hui)被?(bei)迫??(po)大??(da)幅?(fu)調(diào)??(tiao)低??(di)政??(zheng)策??(ce)利??(li)率??(lv)水??(shui)平?(ping)??。。