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　　可?(ke)見??(jian)?，從??(cong)技??(ji)術(shù)??(shu)面??(mian)分??(fen)析??(xi)國??(guo)際??(ji)油??(you)價(jià)??(jia)短??(duan)期??(qi)走??(zou)勢??(shi)是??(shi)向??(xiang)下??(xia)探??(tan)底??(di)??。??很??(hen)多??(duo)人??(ren)運(yùn)??(yun)用??(yong)AI技??(ji)術(shù)??(shu)模??(mo)型??(xing)也??(ye)得??(de)到??(dao)相??(xiang)同??(tong)的??(de)結(jié)??(jie)論??(lun)?，即??(ji)短??(duan)期??(qi)內(nèi)??(nei)看??(kan)跌??(die)??。一??(yi)些??(xie)重??(zhong)要??(yao)投??(tou)行??(xing)也??(ye)給??(gei)出??(chu)了??(le)油??(you)價(jià)??(jia)在??(zai)每??(mei)桶??(tong)60美??(mei)元??(yuan)至??(zhi)80美??(mei)元??(yuan)之??(zhi)間??(jian)波??(bo)動??(dong)的??(de)預(yù)?(yu)測??(ce)???！　∈??(shi)實(shí)??(shi)上?(shang)??，目??(mu)前??(qian)世??(shi)界??(jie)石??(shi)油??(you)市??(shi)場??(chang)一??(yi)直??(zhi)被??(bei)供??(gong)應(yīng)??(ying)過??(guo)剩??(sheng)、需??(xu)求??(qiu)不??(bu)振??(zhen)所??(suo)困?(kun)擾??(rao)??。?特??(te)朗??(lang)普??(pu)政??(zheng)府??(fu)一??(yi)方??(fang)面??(mian)向??(xiang)歐??(ou)佩??(pei)克??(ke)和??(he)沙??(sha)特?(te)阿??(e)拉??(la)伯??(bo)施??(shi)壓??(ya)??，要??(yao)求??(qiu)后??(hou)者??(zhe)提??(ti)高??(gao)產(chǎn)??(chan)量??(liang)壓??(ya)低?(di)油??(you)價(jià)??(jia)；另??(ling)一??(yi)方??(fang)面??(mian)又?(you)拒??(ju)絕??(jue)補(bǔ)??(bu)充??(chong)庫??(ku)存??(cun)??。美??(mei)能??(neng)源??(yuan)部??(bu)長??(chang)計(jì)??(ji)劃??(hua)與??(yu)國??(guo)會??(hui)合??(he)作??(zuo)取??(qu)消??(xiao)今??(jin)后??(hou)5年??(nian)強(qiáng)??(qiang)制??(zhi)性??(xing)購??(gou)買?(mai)戰(zhàn)??(zhan)略??(lve)石?(shi)油??(you)儲??(chu)備??(bei)的?(de)規(guī)??(gui)定??(ding)??。此??(ci)外??(wai)??，美??(mei)國??(guo)加??(jia)大??(da)對??(dui)伊??(yi)朗?(lang)極??(ji)限??(xian)制??(zhi)裁??(cai)以??(yi)及??(ji)俄??(e)烏??(wu)沖??(chong)突??(tu)解?(jie)決??(jue)后??(hou)是??(shi)否??(fou)放??(fang)松??(song)對?(dui)俄??(e)能??(neng)源??(yuan)制??(zhi)裁??(cai)等??(deng)都??(dou)是??(shi)未??(wei)知??(zhi)數(shù)??(shu)??，更??(geng)何??(he)況??(kuang)美??(mei)關(guān)??(guan)稅??(shui)政??(zheng)策?(ce)將??(jiang)直??(zhi)接??(jie)影??(ying)響??(xiang)到??(dao)各??(ge)主??(zhu)要??(yao)經(jīng)??(jing)濟(jì)?(ji)體??(ti)的??(de)能?(neng)源??(yuan)供??(gong)應(yīng)??(ying)及??(ji)需??(xu)求??(qiu)變??(bian)化??(hua)??，市??(shi)場??(chang)短?(duan)期??(qi)風(fēng)??(feng)險(xiǎn)?(xian)是??(shi)顯??(xian)而??(er)易??(yi)見??(jian)的??(de)??。。